📢 ΕΚΔΗΛΩΣΗ / ΟΜΙΛΙΑ
Το Πρόγραμμα Μεταπτυχιακών Σπουδών σας προσκαλεί στην ομιλία του
κ. Ανδρέα Μαρκουλιδάκη, Senior Research Associate, Bristol Medical School (University of Bristol)
🗓 Πέμπτη 28 Μαΐου
🕒 15:00 – 16:00
📍 Εργαστήριο Η/Υ, Μαθηματικό Τμήμα ΕΚΠΑ
🔹 Title:
Trends in prevalence of opioid dependence in Scotland 2014-2023:
Multi-Parameter Estimation of Prevalence (MPEP)
🔹 Abstract:
Scotland remains in the midst of a public health crisis driven by drug-related deaths, with rates reaching 2.0 per 100 person-years in 2020–22. Estimates of the prevalence of opioid dependence are critical for supporting policy decisions and better understanding the factors behind this rise. We applied a Bayesian multi-parameter estimation of prevalence approach to estimate the prevalence of opioid dependence from 2014/15 to 2023/24, by age group, sex, region and year. We used linked Opioid Agonist Therapy (OAT) prescriptions, mortality and hospital admission data from the Substance Use and Health Intelligence Linked Dataset.
We estimate there were 43,600 (95% CrI: 42,000 to 45,400) people with opioid dependence in Scotland in 2023/24, which is 1.13% (95% CrI: 1.09% to 1.18%) of those aged 15–69. OAT coverage was estimated to be 61%. Estimated prevalence was 0.68% in women and 1.59% in men, and was higher among those aged 50–69 (0.76%) than 15–34 (0.67%). Across regions, prevalence varied from 0.91% in Forth Valley to 1.46% in Greater Glasgow & Clyde. Over the ten-year period, the estimated number of people with opioid dependence decreased by 4,100 (95% CrI: 6,800 to 1,500). During that time, there were more than 5,834 opioid-related poisoning deaths and likely over 14,000 deaths from any cause among people with opioid dependence.
Robust estimates of the prevalence of opioid dependence can be generated through linked drug treatment and other health data sets. In Scotland, prevalence of opioid dependence remains high, despite signs of a modest decline.
🎓 Η εκδήλωση είναι ανοιχτή σε φοιτητές, ερευνητές και κάθε ενδιαφερόμενο.
